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CHAT SCHEDULE |
The handicapping will cover all stakes races on the card, Past Performances can be emailed to you upon request. |
Date: October 2, 2010 Time: 9:30 PM EST |
Darley Debutante (G-1) Produces Champions |
View the Chat and Stakes Calendar at the Chat Room. |
Superstar Saturday! 11 G-1 Races Scheduled at Belmont & Oak Tree at Hollywood Park. |
With a new handicapper friendly layout, the Guide includes information on how the sires' progeny will do over various track surfaces, a Precocity Rating and more! Anne Peters, Pedigree Consultant for Three Chimneys Farm got a sneak peak and said "It (the Guide) looks like a pretty interesting and useful product." |
Unlock the Secrets of Freshmen Sires! |
Selections |
The Darley Debutante (G-1), formerly named the Del Mar Debutante, has been contested since 1951. Champions Landluce, Althea, Brave Raj, Chilukki, Halfbridled, Sweet Catomine and Stardom Bound won this race on their way to Championship Juvenile honors. Champions Phone Chatter, Spain and last year's Eclipse Award winner Blind Luck finished second in the Debutante. The last two years, a California filly was voted Champion Juvenile. This year's winner will likely head to the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies race and could become the next Champion Juvenile. |
Blind Luck Photo: Edgewood Farm |
She'll Heir, a daughter of last year's leading Freshmen Sire, Wildcat Heir came from off the pace to post a one length victory in the Cinderella Stakes but failed to progress in subsequent starts. She'll Heir shows no works since early July. The Cerin barn wins 4% graded stakes and Brice Blanc (3 wins in 32 starts) jumps aboard, replacing Pat Valenzuela who stays with the recent maiden winner Sugarinthemorning. |
Undefeated Wickedly Perfect has strong Poly influences on both sides of her pedigree. She won the Sorrento (G-3) in her last start for trainer Dug O'Neil who is winning main track sprints at 27%. The pretty gray filly owns two strong six furlong breezes and will be the likely morning line favorite. Tell a Kelly (Tapit - Evrobi, by Tabasco Cat) broke her maiden last time out at six furlongs. Her dam is a half sister to a stakes placed runner. Train John Sadler has only a 15% win rate, but is in the money 54% of the time this meet. |
Wickedly Perfect - Photo: Benoit |
Righteous Renee (Dixie Union - Successfully Sweet, by Successful Appeal) is still a maiden and finished behind AZ Warrior and Avid in two racing attempts. Her dam was a stakes winning juvenile sprinter and is a half sister |
a juvenile stakes winner. Righteous Renee had a few stamina breezes after her last start and should be fit. Trainer Melody Conlon has run only four horses at this meet, producing a winner and two in the money. |
Sugarinthemorning (Candy Ride - Sugar Belle, by In Excess) won at first asking in a state-bred maiden race going six furlongs. Her full sister placed once in her only start. Her second and third dams were stakes winners. The McAnally barn produced two sprinters for the meet with one winner. The Hall of Fame trainer shouldn't be ignored when teaming up with a veteran rider like Pat Valenzuela. Since his return, P. Val gets 15% win and 46% in the money with main track sprints. |
Avid (More Than Ready - Meadow Silk, by Meadowlake) was 2 ¼ lengths clear of Righteous Renee and Big Tiz in their debut. Avid is a very well bred filly. She's a half sister to Indiana Derby (G-3) winner and first crop sire Star Dabbler and his three full brothers Run Production, a stakes winner, and stakes placed Bay Head King. Dam is a half sister to stakes winner Silken Cat and two stakes placed runners. Further, Avid has inbreeding to Nothirdchance through Hail to Reason, the third sire of More Than Ready and Be Suspicious, the second dam of Meadowlake. Avid attracts Joel Rosario, who with 22% wins in main track sprints, has the best win rate in the jockey's colony. |
Avid - Photo: Crystal Jones |
Rigoletta (Concerto - Almost Aprom Queen, by Montbrook) won in her second attempt when switching from Cushion to Polytrack. Dam one once in five tries and is a half sister to the stakes winners Lady Gin and Sea of Green. Trainer Dan Hendricks has six starters, one winner one placed, sprinting over the main track. Gone Rebel (Macabe - Rebel Gal, Honour and Glory) was caught by a bare neck attempting to wire the field in a six furlong optional claimer last time out. Her sire, a son of Grand Slam, was stakes placed over the turf. Trainer Vladimir Cerin has a strong 26% win and 56% in the money this meet, however jockey Paul Atkinson is searching for his first win of the meet. |
A Z Warrior is a daughter of freshman sire Bernardini out of Carson Jen (by Carson City). She was a fast closing second in the Sorrento Stakes and should appreciate the extra distance of the Debutante. Bernardini was lightly raced, but his spectacular performances earned him the Eclipse Award as Champion Three Year Old. A Z Warrior's half brother EZ Warrior is a multiple stakes winner and has won over this track (G-3). A Z Warrior's half sister JZ Warrior is also a multiple stakes winner. Their dam Carson Jen was stakes placed. |
Izshelegal (Macho Uno - Unkatzable, by A.P. Indy) placed in her two efforts, including a third place finish behind Wickedly Perfect. Izshelegal is bred to go two turns and to improve with age, so she could turn the tables on them in the Debutante. Trainer Terry Knight has sent out only 5 sprinters this meet and jockey Victor Espinoza has been in the money 45% of the time. |
How the track is playing: 41% of the sprint races have been won on the lead this meet while closers are taking 30% of the races. The rail is winning at a 15% clip. |
She'll Heir hasn't developed at the same pace as her counterparts and is in tough. Wickedly Perfect is undefeated, but was almost caught at the end of her last race. Is she regressing? Tell a Kelly could be improving at the right time. Righteous Renee could hit the board at long odds. She's another that is showing improvement. Sugarinthemorning will face pressure on the lead, but don't discount those Candy Rides. Avid won at first asking for a conservative barn and worked back convincingly. She has one of the better pedigrees in the field and could outclass the rest. Rigoletta was supplemented into this race and her works are above average, but not as good as some others. Gone Rebel weakened against lesser in her last. She'll likely grab the lead and weaken at the end. A Z Warrior was gaining on Wickedly Perfect last time out and should appreciate the extra real estate. Izshelegal was third in the Sorrento, one length behind the winner. She's another that will improve with added distance and could be a dangerous upset. |
Avid A Z Warrior Sugarinthemorning Izshelegal - longshot selection at 5-1 or higher |
Sapling (G-3) Results: Madman Diaries 1st, Vengeful Wildcat 2nd, Chipshot 3rd. |
Sapling Selections: Maybesomaybenot Nacho Saint Vengeful Wildcat Madman Diaries - longshot |